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Euro Moribund Yen Weakens
By DailyFX - An extraordinarily quiet night in FX markets as the EUR/USD remains moribund with the pair locked in a 20 point range. Economic...
... data showed mixed results providing no fuel to either bulls or bears. The main news of the night was the Euro-zone Current Account which contracted to -3.3 Billion euros from -5.3 Billion the period prior. However portfolio inflows decreased from €33 Billion in December to only €19 Billion in January dampening the positive news of the headline number. Market participants ignored the data for the most part and the pair traded listlessly throughout the European session with attention now turning to US Existing Home Sales report due 15:00 GMT later today. The market expects a small drop of 60K units in the US housing sales which should be consistent with a slightly softer results in MBA mortgage applications. However a much greater than expected decline could send the currency market for a loop as housing has been the cornerstone of US economic growth since 2003. If the Fed's tightening campaign has already resulted in material slowdown of housing demand then market expectations of US interest rate policy may change yet again as traders begin to speculate that 4.75% may well be the end of Fed rate hikes. The indecisive price action is simply emblematic of the uncertain fundamental picture and currency markets are unlikely to find direction until eco data provides more meaningful information. Meanwhile in Asia the USD/JPY executed the familiar one-two step of bullish economic news, followed by bearish rhetoric from monetary officials. Japanese Merchandise Trade Balance posted a slightly smaller surplus than expected but both imports and exports recorded the largest gains in 9 years indicating that Japanese economy is firing on all cylinders. Nevertheless, yen bulls were stymied after BOJ member Nakahara noted that deflation still persisted and he saw no need to abandon the ZIRP standard anytime soon. In short it appears as though yen bulls will be thwarted in any attempt to take the pair lower until monetary policy begins to echo Japan's decidedly firmer economic results. For the time being the 115.00 level in the USD/JPY is likely to hold. By DailyFX
posted at 14:22:38 on 03/23/06
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Category: Forex
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