By DailyFX - EUR/USD * Euro bulls continued to keep the greenback longs at as pair treaded sideways above the psychologically important 1.2000 handle, a...

... level created by the 38.2 Fib of the 1.2588-1.1639 USD rally and is further reinforced by the combination of the 20-day and 50-day SMA's.


A further advance by the dollar longs will most
likely see the pair head lower target euro offers around 1.1932, a level marked by
the December 28 daily high and with further advance on the part of the dollar trader
seeing the pair head below 1.1900 figure and target bids around 1.1864, a level
defended by the 23.6 Fib of the 1.2588-1.1639 USD rally. However in case euro bulls
manage to push the pair higher, a move above 1.2100 figure will most likely see the
pair advance above 1.2115, a level defended by the 50.0 Fib of the 1.2588-1.1639 USD
rally. Indicators are favoring Euro longs with both positive momentum indicator and
MACD treading above the zero line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough
room to maneuver.


USD/JPY * Japanese Yen longs continued to keep the pair below 117.00 figure as price
action remained confined to a trading range that dominated USD/JPY since the
beginning of the year. As yen bulls resume their advance, a further move to the
downside will most likely see the pair head lower and with a break below 116.00, a
level defended by the January 17 daily high at 115.93, most likely seeing USD/JPY
extending its decline toward the psychologically important 115.00 handle, a level
protected by the 38.2 Fib of the 104.16-121.46 USD rally and 200-day SMA at 114.80.
However in case yen longs fail to push the pair below 116.00, a reversal will most
likely see the pair head above 117.35 and target yen offers around 118.17, a level
marked by the December 30 daily high. A further move to the upside will most likely
see the pair extend its gains above 119.00 figure and target offers around 119.39, a
level established by the February 3 daily high. Indicators are favoring yen bulls
with both negative momentum indicator and negative MACD treading below the zero
line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.


GBP/USD * British pound longs retaliated in force and pushed the pair above 1.7432,
a level established by the 20-day SMA rally. As cable longs continue with their
advance, a further move on the part of the sterling longs will most likely see the
pair head higher and with a break above the psychologically important 1.7500 handle,
a level defended by the March 12 daily low at 1.7512, most likely seeing GBP/USD
head above the 50-day SMA at 1.7525, and target dollar offers around 1.7603, a level
marked by the 38.2 Fib of the 1.8500-1.7048 USD rally. However in case dollar bulls
manage to takeover the price action and push the pair lower, a break below 1.7399
will most likely see GBP/USD extend its decline below 1.7300 figure and target
1.7281, a level defended by the February 14 daily low. A sustained momentum on the
part of the dollar traders most likely seeing GBP/USD head lower and target sterling
bids around 1.7188, a level marked by the January 3 daily low. Indicators are mixed
with positive momentum indicator diverging from negative MACD treading below the
zero line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.



USD/CHF * Swiss Franc bulls followed through with a counter against the greenback
longs with USD/CHF once again heading toward the psychologically important 1.3000
handle. As Swissie longs push the pair lower, a further move to the downside will
most likely see the pair head lower and wit ha break below 1.3040, a level marked by
the 23.6 Fib of the 1.2240-1.3285 CHF rally. A further move to the downside will
most likely see the pair head lower and target dollar bids around the
psychologically important 1.3000 handle, a level defended by the November 28 daily
low, and with sustained momentum most likely seeing the pair extend its decline
toward 1.2885, a level created by the 38.2 Fib of the 1.2240-1.3285 CHF rally.
However in case the dollar longs push the pair above 1.3100, a further move to the
upside will most likely see USD/CHF head higher and extend its advance toward Swiss
Franc defenses around 1.3201, a level defended by the December 30 daily high.
Indicators are favoring dollar bulls with both positive momentum indicator and
positive MACD treading above the zero line, while neutral oscillators give either
side enough room to maneuver.


USD/CAD * Canadian dollar bulls managed to push back the advancing greenback longs
as USD/CAD failed to break the offers above 1.1700 figure following a week long
greenback rally. In case US dollar longs fail to sustain their rally and retreat, a
move below 1.1600 figure will most likely see the pair extend its decline toward
1.1512, a level marked by the March 16 daily low. However, if greenback longs manage
to retain a control of the price action, a further move to the upside will most
likely see the pair target Loonie offers around 1.1748, a level marked by the
January 9 daily high. A sustained upside momentum will most likely see USD/CAD
advance above 1.1800 figure and with further momentum targeting 1.1848, a level
defended by the 38.2 Fib of the 1.2799-1.1297 CAD rally. A further rally on the part
of the US dollar bulls will most likely see the USD/CAD target the psychologically
important 1.2000 handle, a level defended by the November 15 daily high. Indicators
are favoring dollar bulls with both positive momentum indicator and positive MACD
treading above the zero line, with ADX above 25 at 25.96, signaling an existence of
a trend, not a direction of one while overbought Stochastic gives Canadian dollar
bulls a chance to retaliate.


AUD/USD * Australian dollar bulls launched a decisive countermove against their US
dollar counterparts after managing to hold bids around .7038, a level defended by
the 78.6 Fib of the .6780-.7986 AUD rally. As Aussie bulls push the pair higher, a
further move to the downside will most likely see the pair head higher and target
greenback offers around .7149, a level marked by the March 21 daily low, and with
further move to the upside seeing AUD/USD target offers around .7242, a level
established by the 61.8 Fib of the .6780-.7986 AUD rally. However in case Aussie
longs fail in their countermove and retreat below .7038, a further move to the
downside will most likely see greenback longs push the pair below the
psychologically important .7000 handle and target Aussie bids around .6932, a level
marked by the July 29, 2004 daily low. Indicators are favoring US dollar trader with
both negative momentum indicator and negative MACD treading below the zero line,
with ADX above 25 at 30.75, signaling an existence of a trend, not a direction of
one, while overbought Stochastic gives Australian dollar longs a chance to
retaliate.


By DailyFX