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Majors Recapture Some Of Their Territory From Dollar
Japanese yen leads the gains against the US Dollar.Swiss Franc crosses lose more ground .Canadian...
... dollar crosses gain as Loonie retreats..Previous session overview: Majors made another attempt to recapture the territory previously lost to the US dollar. EUR/USD * Euro bulls lost the attack against the dollar positions as the charge by the single currency longs lost momentum after the pair reached the 1.2600 figure. As the price action remains confined to a tight range, defensive lines remain unchanged with minor support at 1.2495, a Feb 20 daily spike low. An intermediate support at 1.2460, a July 16 high, continues to defend the major support at 1.2389, an Aug 17 daily spike high from the advances by the dollar longs. In case euro bulls stage another attack, their advance will meet a minor resistance at 1.2631, a 61.8 Fib of the 1.1991-1.3667 euro rally. A move deeper in the dollar held territory will encounter an intermediate resistance at 1.2665, a Nov daily spike low, with a break above testing the defenses at 1.2730, a Feb 7 daily spike low. Oscillators remain mixed. Stochastic is oversold on the daily chart at 10.16 and is neutral at 44.21 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI is treading along the oversold line on the daily chart at 28.32 and remains neutral at 45.39 on the 4-hour chart. MACD remains below zero line on the daily chart and is slopping upward toward the zero line on the dealer (4HR) chart. Key Levels Level Resistance Details 1.2730 Major Feb 7 daily spike low 1.2665 Intermediate Nov 2 daily spike low 1.2631 Minor 61.8 Fib of the 1.1991-1.3667 euro rally Level Support Details 1.2495 Minor Feb 20, 2004 daily spike low 1.2460 Intermediate July 16 high 1.2389 Major Aug 17 daily spike high USD/JPY *Yen bulls succeeded in pushing deeper into the dollar held territory as a surprise attack by the yen longs against the greenback bulls pushed the pair well below the 108.00 figure. As the yen bulls continue to press with their attack, dollar longs will rely on a minor support at 107.08, a 61.8 Fib of the 108.88-104.16 yen rally, with an intermediate support at 106.52, a 50.0 Fib of the Apr-May bull swing currently defending the 106.00 figure against the incursion by the yen bulls. A major support is seen at 106.22, 20-day SMA. In case dollar longs stage a counterattack their initial advance will meet a minor resistance at 107.86, a 78.6 Fib of the Apr-May bull swing, with intermediate resistance at 108.47, an Apr 12 daily spike high currently defending the 108.00 figure. A break in the yen defenses will most likely see the greenback forces meeting major resistance at 108.88, a 2005 high. Indicators remain mixed. Stochastic remains overbought on the daily chart at 87.45 and is neutral at 39.27 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI is dipping below the overbought line on the daily chart at 60.62 and is neutral at 43.15 on the 4-hour chart. MACD is crossing above the zero line on the daily chart and is approaching the zero line from above on the dealer (4HR) chart. Key Levels Level Resistance Details 108.88 Major 2005 High 108.47 Intermediate Apr 12 daily spike high 107.86 Minor 78.6 Fib of the Apr-May bull swing Level Support Details 107.08 Minor 61.8 Fib of the 108.88-104.16 yen rally 106.52 Intermediate 50.0 Fib of the Apr-May bull swing 106.22 Major 20-day SMA GBP/USD * Sterling bulls charged the dollar positions in a bid to capture some of their lost territory, but failed to make much progress into the greenback held territory. As pound longs get ready to launch another offensive, their initial move will encounter a minor resistance at 1.8359, a May 24 daily spike high. A break in the dollar defenses will most likely see the sterling bulls meet an intermediate resistance at 1.8440, a 61.8 Fib of the 1.7752-1.9550 cable rally, with a sustained breakout coming upon a major resistance is seen at 1.8509, a Feb 8 daily spike low. In case the pound bulls have to defend their territory against the marauding dollar bulls, they will rely on a minor support at 1.8195, an Oct 28 daily spike low. An intermediate support remains intact at 1.8137, a 78.6 Fib of the 1.7752-1.9550 cable rally, with major support at 1.8086, a July 29 daily spike low continuing to defend the cable held territory. Oscillators are mixed. Stochastic remains extremely oversold on the daily chart at 6.32 and is neutral at 33.05 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI is oversold on the daily chart at 22.35 and is neutral on the 4-hour chart at 45.57. MACD remains below the zero line on the daily chart and is slopping upward toward the zero line on the dealer chart. Key levels Level Resistance Details 1.8509 Major Feb 8 daily spike low 1. 8440 Intermediate 61.8 Fib of the 1.7752-1.9550 cable rally 1.8359 Minor May 24 daily spike high Level Support Details 1.8195 Minor Oct 28 daily spike low 1.8137 Intermediate 78.6 Fib of the 1.7752-1.9550 cable rally 1.8086 Major July 29 daily spike low USD/CHF * Swiss Franc bulls made a move against the dollar positions in an attempt to regain the control of the territory previously lost to the greenback onslaught. As both sides continue to engage each other, dollar longs will rely on a minor support at 1.2231, a 5-day SMA, with intermediate support at 1.2197, an Apr 14 daily spike high currently providing greenback bulls with first two lines of defense. A major support can be seen at 1.2076, a 50.0 Fib of the 1.2858-1.1288 Swissie rally. In case dollar bulls launch a counteroffensive against the Swissie positions, they will meet a minor resistance at 1.2379, an Aug 16 daily low. A move higher will encounter an intermediate resistance at 1.2447, Sep 30 daily low, with major resistance at 1.2520, a 78.6 Fib of the 1.2858-1.1288 Swissie rally remaining a key target for the greenback bulls. Oscillators remained aligned. Stochastic is overbought on the daily chart at 86.27 and is neutral at 43.56 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI is dipping below the overbought line on the daily chart at 69.65 and is neutral at 43.56 on the 4-hour chart. MACD is above the zero line on both the daily chart and slopping downward toward the zero line on the dealer (4HR) chart. Key levels Level Resistance Details 1.2520 Major 78.6 Fib of the 1.2858-1.1288 Swissie rally 1.2447 Intermediate Sep 30 daily low 1.2379 Minor Aug 16 daily low Level Support Details 1.2231 Minor 5-day SMA 1.2197 Intermediate Apr 14 daily spike high 1.2076 Major 50.0 Fib of the 1.2858-1.1288 Swissie rally USD/CAD * Canadian dollar remained virtually unchanged as the pair continued to consolidate around the 1.2600 figure, as Loonie bulls seemed captivated by the power of the 38.2 Fib of the 1.4000-1.1731 Canadian dollar rally. As the price action ground to a halt, defensive positions remain unchanged from the previous session. US dollar bulls continue to rely on a minor support at 1.2545, a 20-day SMA, with an intermediate support at 1.2497, an Apr 18 daily spike low. A major support is seen at 1.2452, an Apr 20 daily spike high. In case greenback longs resume their attack, their initial advance will meet a minor resistance at 1.2675, May 20 daily spike high, with a move deeper into the Loonie held territory encountering an intermediate resistance at 1.2733, May 16 daily spike high. A major resistance at 1.2776, a Jan 5 2004 daily spike low, remains a key level for the US dollar bulls to conquer as a breakout will most likely target the 1.3000 figure. Indicators are mixed. Stochastic is treading below the overbought line on the daily chart at 69.35 and is neutral at 47.22 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI is neutral on both the daily chart at 61.24 and at 45.22 on the 4-hour chart. MACD is about to make a bearish crossover above the zero line on the daily chart and is treading along the zero line on the dealer (4HR) charts. Key Levels Level Resistance Details 1.2776 Major Jan 5, 2004 daily spike low 1.2733 Intermediate May 16 daily spike high 1.2675 Minor May 20 daily spike high Level Support Details 1.2545 Minor 20-day SMA 1.2497 Intermediate Apr 18 daily spike low 1.2452 Major Apr 20 daily spike high AUD/USD * Aussie bulls bulldozed their way through the .7600 figure in the latest attempt by the Australian dollar longs to recapture the territory previously lost to the US dollar longs. As the Aussie bulls continue to push their way deeper into the greenback held territory, they will meet minor resistance at .7650, a 61.8 Fib of the .7442-.7989 Aussie rally. An intermediate resistance at .7692, a 20-day SMA, currently defends the major support .7715, a 50.0 Fib of the Dec-Feb Aussie rally. As Australian dollar longs continue to push their boundaries, their defensive positions have shifted with minor support at .7558, 78.6 Fib of the Dec-Feb Aussie rally. An intermediate support at .7527, Dec 16 daily spike low, currently defends the major support at .7502, a 2005 low. Oscillators are mixed. Stochastic is oversold on the daily chart at 14.12 and is treading below the overbought line at 62.96 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI is neutral on the daily chart at 38.6 and is neutral at 53.72 on the 4-hour chart. MACD remains below the zero line on the daily chart and is crossing above the zero line on the dealer (4HR) charts. Key Levels Level Resistance Details .7715 Major 50.0 Fib of the Dec-Feb Aussie rally .7682 Intermediate 20-day SMA .7650 Minor 61.8 Fib of the .7442-.7989 Aussie rally Level Support Details .7558 Minor 78.6 Fib of the Dec-Feb Aussie rally .7527 Intermediate Dec 16 daily spike low .7502 Major 2005 Low NZD/USD * New Zealand dollar managed to push the US dollar bulls further above the .7100 figure in the latest bout of the US dollar bearishness. As the Kiwi bulls continue to push deeper into the greenback territory they will meet a minor resistance .7149, a May 24 daily spike high. A move further will encounter an intermediate resistance at .7152, 50.0 Fib of the .6900-.7468 Kiwi rally. Major resistance remains intact at .7225, a 20-day SMA. As Kiwi bulls continue to attack the US dollar positions, they will rely on a minor support at .7046, May 16 daily low. An intermediate support remains at .7020, a 78.6 Fib of the .6900-.7468 Kiwi rally and continues to defend the major support at .6971, a Feb 9 daily spike low. Indicators are mixed. Stochastic is oversold on the daily chart at 13.1 and is neutral at 63.78 on the dealer (4HR) chart. RSI continues to tread above the oversold line on the daily chart at 38.39 and remains neutral at 54.87 on the 4-hour chart. MACD is crossing below the zero line on the daily chart and is slopping upward toward the zero line on the dealer (4HR) chart. Key Levels Level Resistance Details .7215 Major 20-day SMA .7182 Intermediate 50.0 Fib of the .6900-.7466 Kiwi rally .7149 Minor May 24 daily spike high Level Support Details .7046 Minor May 16 daily low .7020 Intermediate 78.6 Fib of the .6900-.7466 Kiwi rally .6971 Major Feb 9 daily spike low www.dailyfx.com
posted at 07:47:19 on 05/25/05
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Category: Forex
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