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The Current Market Sentiment - Fx Recommends
God Willing, We wait for the language of the FOMAC assessment which is
expected to signal the slow down of consuming spending after 2 meeting... ... of omitting. They may attribute this slowdown to the hurricanes negative impact but no way it is to be exacerbated by the measured pace of tightening! The currency market modern talking is the EUR interest rate outlook which has become higher after the strong germane IFO of Oct which has shown a rise to 98.7. The data indicate a better business climate in Germany after the grand coalition deals which could give stability to the markets. By God's Will, The data increased the probability of a .25% rate hike by the end of this year which can give the single currency strength across the broad. These current conditions were not existing at the beginning of this year: 1: the expectations were directed to the rate cut possibility on the EU sluggish growth and the contraction of the manufacturing sector. 2: USD was encouraged by the rate strong outlook advantage and this can come to an end by the beginning of next year and there is current uncertainty right now on the new fed’s chief Bernenak’s policy which can weigh on the greenback. He may consider the growth rather than the inflation. 3: the inflation pressure is a ascending to unbearable levels above the 2% inflation targets in EU and UK which increase the probabilities of a next tightening move. 4: the rising tension in the Middle East between Syrian Iranian side and US Israeli side and its impact on oil and gold prices. Best Wishes www.FX-Recommends.com FX Consultant Walid Salah EL Din MOB: +20 12 4659143 MSN: fx_recommends@hotmail.com
posted at 08:56:56 on 10/31/05
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Category: Forex
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