The Euro is approaching at this very moment the bottom of the rising channel on the hourly chart, and in the same area we noticed an intraday support that has shown itself several times lately, which adds more importance to this level.

Reaching this area is the most important test for the EURUSD
since reaching 1.4766 last Thursday. If it survives here, there will be a
chance to test the most important resistance for the short-term 1.4723 which
is the falling trendline from last week’s high, and if this resistance is
also taken, we will have a good chance of seeing the top of the channel
which is currently at 1.4824, this week. On the other hand, breaking this
channel would be a clear signal of weakness, and would mean that we are
currently in a correction for the whole up-move from 1.4176 to 1.4766, which
is going to target 1.4541 at least, and probably areas below it, the most
important of which are 1.4471 & 1.4401.

Support:
• 1.4660: the bottom of the current rising channel, and an intraday support
that has shown itself several times lately.
• 1.4579: previous support.
• 1.4514: Sep 14th high.
Resistance:
• 1.4723: the falling trendline from Thursday’s high 1.4766.
• 1.4774: previous daily high.
• 1.4824: previous daily low.
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USD/JPY

Dollar-Yen is approaching Fibonacci resistance 91.70, at this very moment,
for the third time, and we could see a break in the next few hours,
especially after breaking the falling trend channel on Friday, and closing
above it. After this break, the most important resistance became 92.07,
which is the level that the price should break to show seriousness in
breaking the channel. If we manage to surpass it, more upside action is to
be expected, reaching, or at least approaching the resistance area
92.70-92.80. Today’s short-term support is provided by the rising trendline
from Wednesday’s low, which is currently at 91.31, and breaking it would be
evidence of weakness, and moving to areas below 90, where some targets
await, the first of which is the support area 89.68-89.78. We do not see
USDJPY free from pressure without breaking 92.07.

Support:
• 91.31: the rising trendline from Wednesday’s low.
• 90.71: intraday support/resistance from last week.
• 89.68/78: important support area containing the lows of Feb 11th, 12th &
Dec 29th 08.

Resistance:
• 92.07: Fibonacci 61.8% for the last move falling from 93.28, the most
important resistance for today.
• 92.70-92.80: previous support area which contains a number of daily lows
in the past few months.
• 93.28: Sep 7th high.
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Forex trading analysis by Forexpros – Written by Munther T. Marji
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